Sport Picks
Ponte San Pietro vs Brusaporto Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 
Match Events
74'
74'
Valenti M.
AI Match Summary
Brusaporto in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brusaporto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Brusaporto have won more games recently than Ponte San Pietro.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 20%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte San Pietro | Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Brusaporto
0:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Ponte San Pietro
1:2
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Brusaporto
1:0
Dec 4, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Ponte San Pietro
3:3
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Brusaporto
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte San Pietro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Brusaporto Compare
Top Goalscorer Valenti M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponte San Pietro 36 / 100
Brusaporto 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponte San Pietro Brusaporto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brusaporto has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Ponte San Pietro scored in 33% of their last 30 games.
Ponte San Pietro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Brusaporto
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte San Pietro
(Home) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
28 Mar
Ponte San Pietro
1 : 0 Clivense
10 Mar
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Caldiero Terme
25 Feb
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 0 Crema
Page 1 of 3
Brusaporto
(Away) 27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0 Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
