Sport Picks
Ponte San Pietro vs USD Casatese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 
Match Events
53'
53'
Isella M.
56'
56'
Videkon J.
AI Match Summary
USD Casatese in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Casatese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ponte San Pietro haven't matched USD Casatese's recent run of results.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 20%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte San Pietro | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs USD Casatese
0:2
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Ponte San Pietro
1:2
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs USD Casatese
1:3
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Ponte San Pietro
2:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs USD Casatese
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte San Pietro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
USD Casatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Isella M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Videkon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponte San Pietro 32 / 100
USD Casatese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponte San Pietro USD Casatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Ponte San Pietro scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.
USD Casatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Ponte San Pietro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS USD Casatese
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte San Pietro
(Home) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
28 Mar
Ponte San Pietro
1 : 0 Clivense
10 Mar
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Caldiero Terme
25 Feb
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 0 Crema
Page 1 of 3
USD Casatese
(Away) 20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3 USD Casatese
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
