Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontejos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Pontejos haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pontejos a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 19%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontejos | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Guarnizo
3:0
Jan 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
3:0
May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Guarnizo
1:1
Jan 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
1:0
May 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Pontejos
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontejos 76 / 100
Guarnizo 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontejos Guarnizo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pontejos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pontejos scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Difficult form: Guarnizo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Guarnizo has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Guarnizo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontejos
(Home) 11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2 Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0 Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2 Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1 Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0 Pontejos
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04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0 Guarnizo
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1 Gama
06 Apr
Pontejos
2 : 0 Vimenor
23 Mar
Pontejos
1 : 1 Atletico Albericia
09 Mar
Pontejos
0 : 5 CD Siete Villas
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Guarnizo
(Away) 20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
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20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1 Guarnizo
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Guarnizo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Tropezon | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 87:32 | 83 |
| 2 | Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 76:27 | 83 |
| 3 | Cayon CD | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 50:22 | 73 |
| 4 | CD Laredo | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54:30 | 68 |
| 5 | Castro | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 52:33 | 68 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:43 | 61 |
| 7 | Barreda Balompie | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:44 | 60 |
| 8 | Santona | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:51 | 58 |
| 9 | CD Siete Villas | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:49 | 53 |
| 10 | Guarnizo | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 11 | UM Escobedo | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 67:54 | 51 |
| 12 | Gama | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 35:42 | 50 |
| 13 | Bezana | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:47 | 47 |
| 14 | Atletico Albericia | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 50:51 | 47 |
| 15 | Pontejos | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45:55 | 47 |
| 16 | Ribamontan al Mar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 42:51 | 45 |
| 17 | Deportiva Santillana | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 43:65 | 36 |
| 18 | Textil Escudo | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 35:69 | 30 |
| 19 | Escuela Meruelo | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 33:85 | 22 |
| 20 | San Martin Arena | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 16:85 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
