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Pontet vs Marignane GCB

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CFA - Group D 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2016/2017 game between Pontet and Marignane GCB finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marignane GCB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pontet
39%
Draws
30%
Marignane GCB
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontet haven't matched Marignane GCB's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pontet Clean Sheet 20%
Marignane GCB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontet Marignane GCB
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Pontet vs Marignane GCB
2:4
Aug 13, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Marignane GCB vs Pontet
5:2
Apr 30, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Marignane GCB vs Pontet
1:0
Nov 28, 2015 National 1 - Group C
Pontet vs Marignane GCB
3:1
Mar 7, 2015 National 1 - Group C
Marignane GCB vs Pontet
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontet 32 / 100
Marignane GCB 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontet Marignane GCB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pontet scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Marignane GCB let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Pontet stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marignane GCB
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontet

(Home)
20 May
Pontet
2 : 4
Marignane GCB
13 May
Montpellier II
2 : 1
Pontet
29 Apr
Pontet
0 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Apr
Pontet
2 : 0
Stade Montois
15 Apr
Rodez
1 : 0
Pontet
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Marignane GCB

(Away)
17 May
GOAL FC
3 : 2
Marignane GCB
10 May
Marignane GCB
2 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
03 May
Angouleme CFC
0 : 1
Marignane GCB
26 Apr
Marignane GCB
1 : 0
Hyeres
19 Apr
Genets
0 : 0
Marignane GCB
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodez30187543:2761
2Stade Montois30149746:2851
3Frejus Saint Raphael30156946:3151
4Toulon301281042:3344
5Colomiers301110935:3743
6Hyeres301013732:2243
7Monaco II301261254:4842
8Marignane GCB3010101047:4540
9Tarbes30912932:3239
10Marseille II301081230:3238
11Martigues301081233:4038
12Nice II308111137:5035
13Sete308111126:2835
14Pezenas30891334:4533
15Montpellier II30871526:4531
16Pontet30591625:4524
Promotion - National 2017/2018 (Main)