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Pontet vs Pezenas

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CFA - Group D 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2016/2017 game between Pontet and Pezenas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pontet
15%
Draws
21%
Pezenas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pezenas have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Pontet are scoring more at 0.83.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Pontet taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Pontet Clean Sheet 20%
Pezenas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontet Pezenas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Pontet vs Pezenas
1:1
Nov 19, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Pezenas vs Pontet
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontet 49 / 100
Pezenas 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontet Pezenas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pontet scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Pezenas let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Difficult form: Pezenas registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pezenas
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontet

(Home)
20 May
Pontet
2 : 4
Marignane GCB
13 May
Montpellier II
2 : 1
Pontet
29 Apr
Pontet
0 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Apr
Pontet
2 : 0
Stade Montois
15 Apr
Rodez
1 : 0
Pontet
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Pezenas

(Away)
19 May
Pezenas
0 : 0
Marignane GCB
12 May
Monaco II
3 : 1
Pezenas
28 Apr
Pezenas
0 : 1
Sete
21 Apr
Toulon
3 : 1
Pezenas
14 Apr
Pezenas
0 : 3
Marseille II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodez 30 18 7 5 43:27 61
2 Stade Montois 30 14 9 7 46:28 51
3 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 15 6 9 46:31 51
4 Toulon 30 12 8 10 42:33 44
5 Colomiers 30 11 10 9 35:37 43
6 Hyeres 30 10 13 7 32:22 43
7 Monaco II 30 12 6 12 54:48 42
8 Marignane GCB 30 10 10 10 47:45 40
9 Tarbes 30 9 12 9 32:32 39
10 Marseille II 30 10 8 12 30:32 38
11 Martigues 30 10 8 12 33:40 38
12 Nice II 30 8 11 11 37:50 35
13 Sete 30 8 11 11 26:28 35
14 Pezenas 30 8 9 13 34:45 33
15 Montpellier II 30 8 7 15 26:45 31
16 Pontet 30 5 9 16 25:45 24
Promotion - National 2017/2018 (Main)