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Pontevedra B vs CD Ourense

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Pontevedra B and CD Ourense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontevedra B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pontevedra B
30%
Draws
29%
CD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontevedra B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ourense come out ahead of Pontevedra B on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pontevedra B Clean Sheet 13%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontevedra B CD Ourense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs CD Ourense
1:0
Sep 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Pontevedra B
6:1
Mar 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Pontevedra B
1:1
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs CD Ourense
1:3
Apr 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra B vs CD Ourense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontevedra B 35 / 100
CD Ourense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontevedra B CD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Pontevedra B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pontevedra B's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Ourense has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pontevedra B VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontevedra B

(Home)
27 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 2
Gran Pena
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
12 May
Somozas
4 : 0
Pontevedra B
Page 1 of 6

CD Ourense

(Away)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)