Sport Picks
Pontevedra vs Ponferradina
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra 
Match Events
18'
18'
Ribeiro A.
27'
27'
Ribeiro A.
(Penalty)
28'
28'
Undabarrena E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Pontevedra and Ponferradina finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontevedra.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pontevedra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ponferradina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pontevedra's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 68%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontevedra | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ponferradina
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Pontevedra
0:1
Mar 3, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Pontevedra
1:0
Oct 14, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ponferradina
0:0
Mar 18, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Ponferradina
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pontevedra Compare
Top Goalscorer Ribeiro A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Ponferradina Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontevedra 68 / 100
Ponferradina 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontevedra Ponferradina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pontevedra scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Pontevedra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ponferradina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pontevedra VS Ponferradina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontevedra
(Home) 01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1 Pontevedra
29 Jul
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Deportivo Fabril
23 May
Pontevedra
2 : 2 Real Aviles
17 May
Tenerife
3 : 0 Pontevedra
09 May
Pontevedra
4 : 0 Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Deportivo Fabril
23 May
Pontevedra
2 : 2 Real Aviles
09 May
Pontevedra
4 : 0 Ath Bilbao B
25 Apr
Pontevedra
1 : 1 Celta Vigo B
12 Apr
Pontevedra
3 : 1 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 3
Ponferradina
(Away) 05 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 2 Unionistas de Salamanca
01 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 1 Real Aviles
29 Jul
Real Oviedo
4 : 0 Ponferradina
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1 Ponferradina
13 Jun
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Real Oviedo
4 : 0 Ponferradina
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1 Ponferradina
06 Jun
Atl. Madrid B
0 : 1 Ponferradina
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1 Ponferradina
02 May
Zamora
3 : 0 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
