Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Karamoko I.
43'
43'
Ducrocq T.
53'
53'
Laraba A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bastia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bastia haven't matched Pontivy's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Pontivy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bastia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 13%
Bastia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontivy | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.37 | 1.70 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 20, 2025 Coupe de France
Pontivy vs Bastia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pontivy Compare
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bastia Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontivy 35 / 100
Bastia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontivy Bastia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bastia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontivy's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Bastia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Pontivy has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pontivy VS Bastia
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontivy
(Home) 03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1 Angouleme CFC
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2 Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3 Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1 Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1 Granville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1 Angouleme CFC
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3 Lorient II
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1 Granville
20 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1 Bastia
09 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1 Rouen
Page 1 of 3
Bastia
(Away) 01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1 Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0 Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1 Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3 Amiens SC
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0 Bastia
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1 Bastia
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1 Bastia
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1 Bastia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Saint-Brice Courcelles 1
FC Bogny 2
Camon 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
Thonon-Evian 0
FC Rhone Vallees 2
RC Grasse 1
Seyssinet 1
Aubagne FC 0
SS Allinges 1
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Colomiers 0
Trelissac 0
Pau 2
Stade Quimperlois 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 9
St. Colomban Locmine 1
Guingamp 2
Le Cellier Mauves 0
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 1
Dominicaine 0
Espoir 1
Eveil 0
Challans 0
Pontivy 2
Sable 0
Saint-Malo 1
US Chateau-Malo 0
Bastia 6
Olympique Marcquois 5
Aire-sur-la-Lys 0
Longuenesse 0
FC Bondues 2
Touraine 2
Epernay 1
Aizenay 0
Troyes 3
Villars-l'Isle 1
Sarre Union 2
Pontarlier 2
Sochaux 3
Steenvoorde 2
Chambly 1
Loon Plage 1
Bethune 2
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
APM Metz 3
Fleury 91 2
Cambrai 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 4
Yvetot 2
ASPTT Caen 1
Bayeux 3
Caen 2
Le Poinconnet 0
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 2
Clermont 1
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mauguio Carnon 0
Selongey 1
Atlas Paillade 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
Cormontreuil 5
Porto Portugais 2
Us Premontre Saint Gobain 0
Chantilly 3
Wittenheim 2
Freyming 3
Besancon RC 4
Thionville 0
Pen Hir 1
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 2
Vitre 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Pledran 0
Plabennec 2
Orvault 1
Les Herbiers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Pierrelatte 0
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Carnoux F.C. 5
Pirae 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 1
Bandrele 0
Granville 3
Dinan 1
Gouzon Avenir 1
Chauvigny 5
Lapalisse 1
Stade Poitevin 2
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auby 0
Amiens SC 3
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avranches 1
Paris 13 Atletico 0
SA Beaumont 4
Aubervilliers 7
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ES Cappelle 2
Abbeville 3
Boulogne 2
Dunkerque 3
Saint-Jean 1
Angouleme CFC 0
Orleans 3
Bayonne 0
JA Drancy 0
Beauvais 1
Saint-Amand 0
Dieppe 3
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Montreal-la-Cluse 0
FC Chalon 3
ASPTT Dijon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
FC 2 Rives 82 0
Mazeres 1
EBBE 0
Bordeaux 1
IC Croix 3
Racing Club de France 2
Etoile Matoury 1
Le Geldar 2
Avion 0
Torcy 2
OCPAM 0
Reims 1
Etoile Bobigny 1
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Ivry 1
Le Mans 2
Saint-Meziery 1
Perigny 2
UES Montmorillon 0
Beaucouze 1
Cannes 1
Annecy 2
Olympique de Villefontaine 0
Grenoble 3
Sarreguemines 5
Furiani Agliani 3
GSA Tomblaine 0
Nancy 5
Seignosse Capbreton 2
Football Club Marmande 47 3
Bassin d'Arcachon 4
Blagnac 1
Andrezieux 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Savigneux Montbrison 3
Feurs 5
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moulien 2
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 3
Quevilly 2
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fontenay 1
Chamalieres 0
Biars-Bretenoux 0
Chateauroux 2
Paris FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mutzig 0
Raon L Etape 3
Magenta 0
Mulhouse 3
Les Bleuets 0
Concarneau 3
St. Renan 0
Stade Briochin 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nord Lozere 4
Ecotay Moingt 5
Quetigny 1
St Etienne 3
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Biesheim 3
Forbach 0
Red Star 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Auch 1
Canet Roussillon 4
Lavaur 1
Rodez 3
Montceau 2
L'Etrat La Tour 1
Agde 0
Montpellier 2
1/64-finals
FC Bogny 0
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
TBD -
Lille -
Lyon -
TBD -
Saint-Cyr Collonges 1
FC Rhone Vallees 0
Seyssinet 0
Istres 2
SA Merignac 1
Pau 0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 0
Guingamp 4
Laval 6
Saint-Pauloise FC 0
Espoir 0
Pontivy 4
Saint-Malo 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 2
FC Bondues 0
Touraine 0
Troyes 2
Sarre Union 0
Sochaux 6
Steenvoorde 0
Bethune 1
Lens -
TBD -
APM Metz 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Yvetot 0
Bayeux 1
Romorantin 2
Blois Foot 41 3
Marseille -
TBD -
Selongey 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Cormontreuil 1
Chantilly 2
Freyming 1
Besancon RC 0
Les Sables 2
Plouvorn 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Plabennec 1
Les Herbiers 2
TBD -
Angers -
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Carnoux F.C. 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montreuil 2
Granville 1
Chauvigny 4
Stade Poitevin 3
Le Havre -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 0
Amiens SC 4
Brest -
TBD -
Avranches 2
Aubervilliers 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
Abbeville 0
Dunkerque 5
Saint-Jean 1
Orleans 2
Beauvais 1
Dieppe 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
FC Chalon 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Mazeres 3
Bordeaux 4
IC Croix 2
Le Geldar 1
Torcy 1
Reims 5
Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2
Le Mans 3
Perigny 3
Beaucouze 1
Annecy 1
Grenoble 2
Sarreguemines 3
Nancy 4
Football Club Marmande 47 0
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Feurs 1
Lorient -
TBD -
AS Le Gosier 3
CMS Oissel 2
PSG -
TBD -
Fontenay 4
Chateauroux 1
Paris FC -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 3
Mulhouse 2
Concarneau 1
Stade Briochin 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Nice -
TBD -
Ecotay Moingt 1
St Etienne 11
Biesheim 2
Red Star 1
TBD -
Metz -
Canet Roussillon 1
Rodez 0
Montceau 0
Montpellier 2
1/32-finals
St. Maur Lusitanos 0
Lille 1
Lyon 3
Saint-Cyr Collonges 0
Istres 1
SA Merignac 0
Guingamp 0
Laval 1
Pontivy 0
Bastia 1
Olympique Marcquois 1
Troyes 3
Sochaux 4
Bethune 2
Lens 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Bayeux 2
Blois Foot 41 1
Marseille 6
Bourg Peronnas 0
Chantilly 3
Freyming 0
Les Sables 0
Rennes 3
Les Herbiers 0
Angers 1
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Chauvigny 1
Le Havre 0
Amiens SC 2
Brest 1
Avranches 2
Strasbourg 2
Dunkerque 1
Orleans 3
Dieppe 0
Auxerre 1
Monaco 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Bordeaux 0
IC Croix 0
Reims 4
Le Mans 2
Perigny 1
Grenoble 1
Nancy 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 7
AS Le Gosier 0
PSG 4
Fontenay 0
Paris FC 3
Raon L Etape 0
Concarneau 3
Nantes 5
Nice 2
St Etienne 1
Biesheim 0
Metz 3
Canet Roussillon 0
Montpellier 1
1/16-finals
Lille 1
Lyon 2
Istres 0
Laval 2
Bastia 0
Troyes 2
Sochaux 0
Lens 3
Bayeux 0
Marseille 9
Chantilly 1
Rennes 3
Angers 1
Toulouse 2
Montreuil 2
Amiens SC 4
Avranches 0
Strasbourg 6
Orleans 1
Monaco 3
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Reims 1
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Lorient 3
PSG 0
Paris FC 1
Nantes 1
Nice 2
Metz 0
Montpellier 4
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Laval 0
Troyes 2
Lens 4
Marseille 3
Rennes 0
Toulouse 1
Amiens SC 0
Strasbourg 3
Monaco 1
Reims 3
Le Mans 0
Lorient 2
Paris FC 0
Nice 3
Montpellier 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 2
Lens 3
Marseille 2
Toulouse 3
Strasbourg 2
Reims 1
Lorient 0
Nice 1
Semi-finals
Lens 4
Toulouse 1
Strasbourg 0
Nice 2
Final
Lens 3
Nice 1
