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Pontypridd United vs Goytre Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2024/2025 USW Sports Park, Pontypridd
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Griffiths D.
60' Event
Griffiths D.
74'
Batcup I.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2024/2025 game between Pontypridd United and Goytre Utd finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontypridd United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Pontypridd United
15%
Draws
32%
Goytre Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontypridd United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Goytre Utd haven't matched Pontypridd United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pontypridd United a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 16%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontypridd United Goytre Utd
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.86 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Goytre Utd
3:0
Aug 16, 2024 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Pontypridd United
3:3
Dec 18, 2021 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Goytre Utd
1:3
Oct 30, 2021 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Pontypridd United
0:1
Mar 28, 2020 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Pontypridd United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontypridd United Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Goytre Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United 75 / 100
Goytre Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontypridd United Goytre Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontypridd United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

Pontypridd United's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Pontypridd United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontypridd United VS Goytre Utd
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontypridd United

(Home)
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2
Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4
Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6

Goytre Utd

(Away)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanelli 30 18 10 2 64:25 64
2 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 17 8 5 53:33 59
3 Newport City 30 16 6 8 50:32 54
4 Trefelin 30 15 8 7 54:41 53
5 Pontypridd United 30 16 5 9 54:44 53
6 Cambrian United 30 13 11 6 50:38 47
7 Carmarthen Town 30 12 9 9 55:44 45
8 Baglan Dragons 30 11 10 9 44:34 43
9 Llantwit Major 30 11 10 9 37:34 43
10 Ammanford Town 30 11 3 16 47:50 36
11 Afan Lido 30 8 10 12 44:51 34
12 Caerau Ely 30 9 5 16 42:43 32
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 9 3 18 39:62 30
14 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 30 7 7 16 30:57 28
15 Goytre Utd 30 6 5 19 41:72 23
16 Taffs Well 30 3 6 21 32:76 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)