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Pontypridd United vs Llanelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontypridd United host Llanelli in the Cymru South. This has Pontypridd United written all over it on paper. Pontypridd United have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Llanelli's 0.8 scored and 2.77 conceded. Past meetings favor Llanelli slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2025, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.06) point toward Pontypridd United. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pontypridd United
15%
Draws
0%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontypridd United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontypridd United come out ahead of Llanelli on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pontypridd United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 20%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontypridd United Llanelli
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.71 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Pontypridd United vs Llanelli
1:3
Mar 21, 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Llanelli
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Pontypridd United
3:0
Aug 4, 2023 League Cup
Llanelli vs Pontypridd United
1:4
Apr 2, 2022 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Llanelli
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United 85 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontypridd United Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontypridd United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanelli has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Llanelli registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pontypridd United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Pontypridd United VS Llanelli
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontypridd United

(Home)
10 Oct
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1
Pontypridd United
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2
Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6

Llanelli

(Away)
16 Oct
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Llanelli
10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2
Llanelli
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)