Sport Picks
Pontypridd United vs Llantwit Major Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 USW Sports Park, Pontypridd 
Match Events
61'
61'
Bevan J.
63'
63'
Bevan J.
72'
72'
Jones L. R.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Pontypridd United and Llantwit Major finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llantwit Major.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pontypridd United come out ahead of Llantwit Major on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pontypridd United's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pontypridd United Clean Sheet 20%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontypridd United | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2026 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Llantwit Major
0:4
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd United
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd United
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Llantwit Major
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd United
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pontypridd United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Llantwit Major Compare
Top Goalscorer Bevan J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jones L. R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontypridd United 36 / 100
Llantwit Major 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontypridd United Llantwit Major
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Llantwit Major conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Pontypridd United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Pontypridd United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pontypridd United VS Llantwit Major
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontypridd United
(Home) 03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2 Pontardawe
18 Apr
Pontypridd United
0 : 0 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 3
Llantwit Major
(Away) 02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0 Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
