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Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gwengwe S.
44' Event
Gwengwe S.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Poole Town and Havant & Waterlooville finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Poole Town
33%
Draws
27%
Havant & Waterlooville
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Poole Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Poole Town are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 16%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poole Town Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Poole Town
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Poole Town
2:1
Oct 15, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:1
Feb 10, 2018 National League South
Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poole Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Gwengwe S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poole Town 39 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poole Town Havant & Waterlooville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poole Town's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Havant & Waterlooville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Poole Town has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poole Town VS Havant & Waterlooville
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Walton & Hersham42295894:4292
2Farnham42259890:5084
3Gloucester City422571093:5182
4Poole Town422112980:5075
5Berkhamsted Town422191262:5072
6Sholing421815974:5369
7Chertsey Town4219101364:5567
8Gosport Borough421961774:7563
9Uxbridge4215141374:7059
10Havant & Waterlooville421771878:7058
11Plymouth Parkway421681864:7956
12Bracknell Town4215101770:7155
13Yate4214101857:6252
14Hanwell Town4214101857:6352
15Wimborne4212151563:6251
16Taunton Town421491965:7051
17Basingstoke421491961:7151
18Evesham4211141751:6247
19Weymouth421382153:7147
20Dorchester429132048:7940
21Hungerford429112247:8738
22Tiverton42533439:11518