Sport Picks
Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 
Match Events
30'
30'
Campbell K.
47'
47'
Campbell K.
76'
76'
Saied S.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 game between Poole Town and Swindon Supermarine finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Swindon Supermarine haven't matched Poole Town's recent run of results.
- Model gives Poole Town a 67% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 20%
Swindon Supermarine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poole Town | Swindon Supermarine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.52 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine
4:0
Sep 7, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Swindon Supermarine vs Poole Town
5:0
Sep 3, 2024 FA Cup
Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 FA Cup
Swindon Supermarine vs Poole Town
1:1
Jan 23, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Swindon Supermarine
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Campbell K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Saied S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76
Swindon Supermarine Compare
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poole Town 85 / 100
Swindon Supermarine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poole Town Swindon Supermarine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Poole Town's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Poole Town has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Swindon Supermarine let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Poole Town VS Swindon Supermarine
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Poole Town
(Home) 07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3 Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1 Sholing
Page 1 of 3
Swindon Supermarine
(Away) 19 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 3 Weymouth
07 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
3 : 1 Winslow United
05 Sept
Winslow United
0 : 0 Swindon Supermarine
29 Aug
Swindon Supermarine
0 : 1 Slimbridge
04 Jul
Swindon
4 : 0 Swindon Supermarine
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Winslow United
0 : 0 Swindon Supermarine
04 Jul
Swindon
4 : 0 Swindon Supermarine
13 Sept
Hungerford
3 : 0 Swindon Supermarine
06 Sept
Exmouth Town
1 : 2 Swindon Supermarine
30 Aug
Tavistock
1 : 4 Swindon Supermarine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merthyr Town | 42 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 105:46 | 91 |
| 2 | AFC Totton | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 85:35 | 88 |
| 3 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 90:54 | 83 |
| 4 | Gloucester City | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 81:53 | 77 |
| 5 | Dorchester | 42 | 19 | 18 | 5 | 75:48 | 75 |
| 6 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 84:49 | 74 |
| 7 | Hungerford | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 63:55 | 59 |
| 8 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 58:62 | 58 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 42 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 64:58 | 57 |
| 10 | Wimborne | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 49:56 | 57 |
| 11 | Sholing | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 59:68 | 52 |
| 12 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 53:61 | 51 |
| 13 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 63:77 | 50 |
| 14 | Poole Town | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 48:62 | 49 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 42 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 62:64 | 48 |
| 16 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 67:82 | 47 |
| 17 | Tiverton | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 39:71 | 47 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 57:72 | 46 |
| 19 | Winchester City | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 54:74 | 46 |
| 20 | Swindon Supermarine | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 60:78 | 44 |
| 21 | Frome Town | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 39:60 | 40 |
| 22 | Marlow | 42 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 45:115 | 21 |
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
