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Porreres vs Alcudia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porreres host Alcudia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. This one's hard to separate. Porreres have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Alcudia's 1.33 scored and 1.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Porreres have won 0 to Alcudia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.50, favoring Alcudia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Porreres
15%
Draws
42%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porreres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Alcudia have won more games recently than Porreres.
  • Model gives Porreres a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Porreres Clean Sheet 16%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porreres Alcudia
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Porreres
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Alcudia
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 48 / 100
Alcudia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porreres Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porreres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Alcudia let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Alcudia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Porreres scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS Alcudia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Porreres

(Home)
10 Oct
Constancia
1 : 0
Porreres
04 Oct
Porreres
0 : 1
Santanyi
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
Page 1 of 7

Alcudia

(Away)
10 Oct
Alcudia
1 : 0
Mercadal
04 Oct
Cardassar
6 : 2
Alcudia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 Constancia 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
4 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)