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Porreres vs Santanyi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
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Match Events

19' Event
Bohmer C.

AI Match Summary

Santanyi in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Porreres
30%
Draws
42%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Santanyi at 1.23 per game, Porreres at 1.06.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Porreres Clean Sheet 21%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porreres Santanyi
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Santanyi
0:1
Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Santanyi vs Porreres
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Santanyi
3:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Porreres
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohmer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 32 / 100
Santanyi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porreres Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santanyi let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Porreres's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Porreres remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS Santanyi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Porreres

(Home)
04 Oct
Porreres
0 : 1
Santanyi
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
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Santanyi

(Away)
04 Oct
Porreres
0 : 1
Santanyi
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
2 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
3 Constancia 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
4 Platges de Calvia 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
5 PE Sant Jordi 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
6 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
7 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
8 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
9 Alcudia 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
10 Porreres 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
11 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
12 Binissalem 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
13 Mercadal 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
14 Andratx 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
15 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
16 Arenal 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
17 Inter Ibiza 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
18 Sineu 6 0 0 6 3:16 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)