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Porreres vs UD Poblense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fullana F.
(Penalty)
19' Event
Garcia M.
72' Event
Penyafort T.

AI Match Summary

UD Poblense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Poblense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Porreres
17%
Draws
70%
UD Poblense
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: UD Poblense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Poblense have won more games recently than Porreres.
  • Win probability leans UD Poblense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Porreres Clean Sheet 16%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porreres UD Poblense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs Porreres
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Porreres vs UD Poblense
0:3
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs UD Poblense
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Porreres
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penyafort T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 15 / 100
UD Poblense 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porreres UD Poblense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UDP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Porreres found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

UD Poblense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Porreres stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS UD Poblense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porreres

(Home)
03 May
Porreres
0 : 0
Alcoyano
26 Apr
UD Poblense
3 : 1
Porreres
19 Apr
Porreres
0 : 1
Baleares
12 Apr
UD Barbastro
2 : 0
Porreres
05 Apr
Porreres
1 : 5
Barcelona B
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UD Poblense

(Away)
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0
UD Poblense
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1
UD Poblense
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1
UD Poblense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sant Andreu34206851:3366
2Baleares34199653:3466
3UD Poblense341611741:2859
4Reus FC Reddis341671150:3855
5Alcoyano341316530:2055
6Barcelona B3414101062:4052
7Girona B3412111145:3747
8Terrassa3411131036:4446
9Valencia B3410141053:5044
10Espanyol B3410141034:3544
11UD Barbastro3410131132:3143
12Olot3410121231:3242
13Castellon B341191459:7242
14SD Ibiza3410101435:4440
15Andratx34891735:5633
16CE Atletic Lleida346121637:5130
17Torrent34791836:5330
18Porreres34691922:4427
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)