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Port Adelaide Lion vs Para

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Para in this SA State League 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Para.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Port Adelaide Lion
6%
Draws
4%
Para
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Port Adelaide Lion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Port Adelaide Lion have won more games recently than Para.
  • Win probability leans Port Adelaide Lion's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Port Adelaide Lion Clean Sheet 20%
Para Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Adelaide Lion Para
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 11 9
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 SA State League
Para vs Port Adelaide Lion
1:3
Apr 22, 2023 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Para
0:3
Jun 11, 2022 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Para
2:3
Mar 5, 2022 SA State League
Para vs Port Adelaide Lion
3:0
Aug 1, 2015 NPL South Australia
Port Adelaide Lion vs Para
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Adelaide Lion 85 / 100
Para 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Adelaide Lion Para

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Para's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Para has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Port Adelaide Lion found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Para
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Adelaide Lion

(Home)
12 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 2
Port Adelaide Lion
05 Aug
Port Adelaide Lion
2 : 4
West Torrens Birkalla
15 Jul
Port Adelaide Lion
0 : 4
Playford Patriots
08 Jul
Para
1 : 3
Port Adelaide Lion
01 Jul
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Port Adelaide Lion
Page 1 of 7

Para

(Away)
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0
Para
04 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 0
Para
27 Jun
Para
0 : 9
MetroStars
20 Jun
Sturt Lions FC
6 : 0
Para
13 Jun
Para
1 : 5
FK Beograd
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Modbury Jets22153475:3048
2West Adelaide22119247:2842
3Blue Eagles22124648:2940
4Para22124635:2840
5Adelaide Croatia Raiders22114745:3437
6Fulham United2296730:2833
7Playford Patriots22931031:4330
8Port Adelaide Lion22911231:5128
9Eastern United22741129:3825
10Adelaide Atletico2259821:2324
11Adelaide University SC22341521:5013
12Adelaide Hills Hawks22231720:519
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)