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Port Louis vs Durban City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Durban City have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Port Louis have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Durban City slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.75, favoring Durban City. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Port Louis
30%
Draws
33%
Durban City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Port Louis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Port Louis come out ahead of Durban City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Port Louis's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Port Louis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Port Louis Clean Sheet 20%
Durban City Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Louis Durban City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.34 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Durban City vs Port Louis
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Louis 40 / 100
Durban City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Louis Durban City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Louis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Port Louis scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Durban City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Port Louis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port Louis VS Durban City
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Louis

(Home)
18 Oct
Durban City
3 : 1
Port Louis
12 Sept
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 1
Port Louis
04 Sept
Port Louis
1 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
28 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Port Louis
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 6

Durban City

(Away)
18 Oct
Durban City
3 : 1
Port Louis
13 Oct
Durban City
1 : 2
AmaZulu
20 Sept
Milford
1 : 1
Durban City
17 Sept
Orlando Pirates
2 : 0
Durban City
13 Sept
Rukinzo
1 : 2
Durban City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara 1
Al Ahly 2
ZED FC 1
Azam 1
Welwalo Adigrat 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 4
Tusker 0
Singida Black Stars 1
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo 0
FAR Rabat 0
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Raja Casablanca 2
Academie de FAD 1
CS Sfaxien 1
Zarzis 1
Real Bamako 3
Diarra 3
ASKO Kara 2
Kabuscorp 1
AS Maniema 4
Red Arrows 1
Kaizer Chiefs 0
Durban City 3
Port Louis 1
Rayon Sport 0
Associacao Black Bulls 2
Virunga 1
Primeiro de Agosto 2