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Stadium Background

Port MTI FC vs Beijing Guoan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League PAT Stadium, Bangkok
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port MTI FC host Beijing Guoan in the AFC Champions League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Beijing Guoan have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Port MTI FC have conceded 1.14 and scored 2.18. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.94) point toward Beijing Guoan. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Port MTI FC
15%
Draws
47%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan's 2.21 goals per match outpaces what Port MTI FC have produced (2.18).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 10%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port MTI FC Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 2.18 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port MTI FC 34 / 100
Beijing Guoan 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port MTI FC Beijing Guoan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port MTI FC's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Beijing Guoan let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Port MTI FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Port MTI FC VS Beijing Guoan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Port MTI FC

(Home)
24 Oct
Port MTI FC
4 : 1
Rayong FC
21 Oct
Rasisalai United
1 : 3
Port MTI FC
18 Oct
Bangkok Utd
0 : 2
Port MTI FC
14 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 1
Port MTI FC
11 Oct
Port MTI FC
3 : 2
Pattani
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Beijing Guoan

(Away)
24 Oct
Henan Songshan Longmen
3 : 4
Beijing Guoan
18 Oct
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0
Qingdao West Coast
13 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 1
Beijing Guoan
09 Oct
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 3
Beijing Guoan
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Johor DT 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Kashima Antlers 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
4 Gamba Osaka 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
5 Kyoto 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Beijing Guoan 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
7 Shanghai Port 3 1 1 1 9:8 4
8 Daejeon 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Kashiwa Reysol 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
10 Jeonbuk 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 Cong An Ha Noi 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
12 Buriram United F.C. 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Ratchaburi 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
14 Pohang 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
15 Port MTI FC 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
16 Newcastle Jets 3 0 0 3 4:15 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Al Ahli SC 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Esteghlal TEH 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Al Hilal 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
6 Al Qadsiah 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Al Ittihad 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
9 Neftchi Fargona 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
11 Shamal 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Pakhtakor 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Tractor 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
14 Al Sadd 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
15 Al Gharafa 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
16 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)