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Stadium Background

Port MTI FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 PAT Stadium, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Leonardo Kalil
(Penalty)
28'
Kusano Y.
45'
Mita H.

AI Match Summary

Port MTI FC in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port MTI FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Port MTI FC
6%
Draws
4%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Port MTI FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nakhon Ratchasima FC haven't matched Port MTI FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Port MTI FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Port MTI FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 68%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port MTI FC Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 2.63 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Port MTI FC
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
4:2
Oct 19, 2024 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Port MTI FC
2:3
Apr 23, 2023 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Port MTI FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port MTI FC 95 / 100
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port MTI FC Nakhon Ratchasima FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Port MTI FC scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Port MTI FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Port MTI FC VS Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2.63 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Port MTI FC

(Home)
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
10 May
Ayutthaya United
1 : 4
Port MTI FC
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
25 Apr
Uthai Thani
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0
Pathum United
Page 1 of 6

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

(Away)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)