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Port Talbot vs Taffs Well

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Jones M.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2021/2022 game between Port Talbot and Taffs Well finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taffs Well.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Port Talbot
15%
Draws
34%
Taffs Well
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Talbot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Taffs Well carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Port Talbot taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Taffs Well have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Port Talbot Clean Sheet 20%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Talbot Taffs Well
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 27 22
Goals Scored 0.6 1.31
Goals Conceded 3.53 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2022 Cymru South
Port Talbot vs Taffs Well
0:1
Sep 10, 2021 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Port Talbot
7:1
Mar 30, 2019 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Port Talbot
1:0
Dec 29, 2018 Division 1
Port Talbot vs Taffs Well
1:2
Feb 17, 2018 Division 1
Port Talbot vs Taffs Well
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Talbot Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Taffs Well Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Talbot 85 / 100
Taffs Well 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Talbot Taffs Well

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Talbot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taffs Well's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Port Talbot stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Taffs Well registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port Talbot VS Taffs Well
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Talbot

(Home)
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Port Talbot
18 Oct
Port Talbot
3 : 1
Afan Lido
20 Sept
Port Talbot
2 : 1
Seven Sisters
11 Jul
Port Talbot
3 : 0
Afan Lido
30 Apr
Trefelin
4 : 0
Port Talbot
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Taffs Well

(Away)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)