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Port Vale vs Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
57'
Gimenez Sanchez E.
57'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Port Vale and Murcia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port Vale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Port Vale
15%
Draws
51%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Port Vale haven't matched Murcia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 15%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Vale Murcia
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Port Vale vs Murcia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Vale Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawrence-Gabriel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Vale 31 / 100
Murcia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Vale Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murcia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Port Vale scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Port Vale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Port Vale VS Murcia
0.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

(Home)
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0
Port Vale
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
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Murcia

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Murcia
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1
CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
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