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Port Vale vs Murcia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
57'
Gimenez Sanchez E.
57'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Port Vale and Murcia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port Vale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Port Vale
22%
Draws
18%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Murcia haven't matched Port Vale's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Port Vale a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 68%
Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Vale Murcia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Port Vale vs Murcia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Vale Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawrence-Gabriel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Vale 68 / 100
Murcia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Vale Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Port Vale scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Murcia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Port Vale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Port Vale VS Murcia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

(Home)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3
Port Vale
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0
Tamworth
02 May
Port Vale
0 : 2
Lincoln City
28 Apr
Stockport County
1 : 2
Port Vale
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Murcia

(Away)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
10 May
Murcia
1 : 2
Betis B
03 May
Sabadell
2 : 2
Murcia
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