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Portadown vs Ballymena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portadown host Ballymena in the NIFL Premiership. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Portadown at 1.57 goals for, 1.64 against; Ballymena at 2 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Portadown have won 2 to Ballymena's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.56) back Ballymena to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Portadown
15%
Draws
54%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ballymena have won more games recently than Portadown.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Portadown Clean Sheet 15%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Ballymena
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Portadown
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Portadown
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Portadown
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Ballymena
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Ballymena
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 35 / 100
Ballymena 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portadown scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Ballymena let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Portadown remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Ballymena
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
23 Oct
Portadown
1 : 2
Linfield
20 Oct
Portadown
0 : 2
Cliftonville
17 Oct
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Portadown
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Portadown
3 : 1
Limavady
Page 1 of 6

Ballymena

(Away)
20 Oct
Newington FC
1 : 3
Ballymena
17 Oct
Ballymena
2 : 1
Crusaders
10 Oct
Limavady
3 : 2
Ballymena
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 13 11 1 1 31:12 34
2 Linfield 13 10 2 1 20:10 32
3 Larne 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
4 Glentoran 12 6 2 4 16:10 20
5 Carrick Rangers 13 5 3 5 22:20 18
6 Ballymena 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
7 Cliftonville 13 5 0 8 16:16 15
8 Crusaders 13 5 0 8 16:28 15
9 Dungannon 12 4 2 6 12:17 14
10 Limavady 12 4 1 7 12:18 13
11 Portadown 13 2 2 9 11:23 8
12 Bangor FC 13 1 3 9 11:26 6
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)