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Porthmadog vs Airbus UK Broughton FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Baker S.
62' Event
Lindfield C.
82' Event
Davies J.

AI Match Summary

Airbus UK Broughton FC in this Cymru North 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Airbus UK Broughton FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Porthmadog
11%
Draws
80%
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Airbus UK Broughton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Airbus UK Broughton FC have won more games recently than Porthmadog.
  • Model gives Airbus UK Broughton FC a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Airbus UK Broughton FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%
Airbus UK Broughton FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Airbus UK Broughton FC
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 9 31
Draws 3 2
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 0.5 3
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 FA Cup
Porthmadog vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
0:2
Mar 29, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
0:3
Aug 12, 2023 Cymru North
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Porthmadog
2:1
Feb 2, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Porthmadog
1:1
Dec 8, 2018 FA Cup
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Porthmadog
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porthmadog Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Airbus UK Broughton FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Baker S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindfield C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 10 / 100
Airbus UK Broughton FC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Airbus UK Broughton FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porthmadog found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Porthmadog stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Airbus UK Broughton FC conceded in 46% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Airbus UK Broughton FC
0.5 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Porthmadog

(Home)
13 Dec
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Rhyl
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Port Talbot
18 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Buckley
24 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Denbigh
22 Jul
Porthmadog
1 : 1
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 7

Airbus UK Broughton FC

(Away)
17 Jul
Denbigh
0 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
30 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Apr
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 1
Llandudno FC
03 Apr
Holywell Town FC
0 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
28 Mar
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Holywell Town FC30263179:1781
2Flint Town30253294:3078
3Airbus UK Broughton FC30235284:2874
4Mold Alexandra301811166:5055
5Bangor 1876301721162:5553
6Denbigh301541171:6049
7Ruthin Town301261258:5242
8Guilsfield301171248:4640
9Caersws FC301091160:5339
10Gresford301071347:5437
11Buckley301061454:6036
12Llandudno FC301011959:8031
13Prestatyn30751839:7423
14Porthmadog30642035:6622
15Chirk AAA FC30342332:8213
16Llanidloes Town30232525:1069
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