Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023

Lupa Frascati

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portici 1906 play Lupa Frascati in the Serie D - Group G 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portici 1906 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Lupa Frascati averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Portici 1906 won 0, Lupa Frascati won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 26, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Portici 1906 and 1.31 for Lupa Frascati. This points to a Lupa Frascati double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Portici 1906

31%

Draws

41%

Lupa Frascati

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Lupa Frascati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Portici 1906 picked up more points recently compared to Lupa Frascati.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 18%

Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portici 1906	Lupa Frascati
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	9	10
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.52	0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group G

Portici 1906 vs Lupa Frascati

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group G

Lupa Frascati vs Portici 1906

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portici 1906 Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Gennaro D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Lupa Frascati Compare

Top Goalscorer Persano M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portici 1906 29 / 100

Lupa Frascati 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portici 1906 Lupa Frascati

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lupa Frascati or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portici 1906 attacking → ← attacking Lupa Frascati

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portici 1906 scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Lupa Frascati let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Portici 1906 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lupa Frascati lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 43

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sorrento	34	21	7	6	53:28	70
2	Paganese	34	19	11	4	56:29	68
3	Casertana	34	17	7	10	57:40	58
4	Arzachena	34	17	6	11	51:40	57
5	Lupa Frascati	34	13	11	10	44:29	50
6	Palmese 1914	34	13	10	11	50:44	49
7	Cassino	34	13	8	13	42:45	47
8	Real Monterotondo	34	12	9	13	51:55	45
9	Sarrabus Ogliastra	34	12	7	15	51:54	43
10	Tivoli Calcio	34	10	11	13	36:39	41
11	Vis Artena	34	9	14	11	24:28	41
12	Portici 1906	34	9	13	12	45:49	40
13	Angri	34	10	9	15	39:51	39
14	Atletico Uri	34	10	9	15	45:62	39
15	Ilvamaddalena	34	8	14	12	30:39	38
16	Pomezia	34	8	11	15	40:58	35
17	SS Nola 1925	34	8	11	15	44:55	35
18	Aprilia	34	8	10	16	34:47	34