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Portimonense U23 vs Maritimo U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portimonense U23 host Maritimo U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Portimonense U23 have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Maritimo U23's 1.03 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Portimonense U23 have won 3 to Maritimo U23's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.06) back Maritimo U23 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Portimonense U23
15%
Draws
64%
Maritimo U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Portimonense U23 haven't matched Maritimo U23's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Maritimo U23 taking it.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Portimonense U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense U23 Maritimo U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Maritimo U23 vs Portimonense U23
2:1
Jan 14, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs Maritimo U23
3:2
Apr 18, 2023 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs Maritimo U23
2:1
Mar 22, 2023 Liga Next Gen U23
Maritimo U23 vs Portimonense U23
1:2
Apr 21, 2022 Taca Revelacao U23
Maritimo U23 vs Portimonense U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense U23 28 / 100
Maritimo U23 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense U23 Maritimo U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maritimo U23 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Portimonense U23 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Maritimo U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense U23 VS Maritimo U23
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense U23

(Home)
20 Oct
Rio Ave U23
4 : 0
Portimonense U23
13 Oct
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
22 Sept
Santa Clara U23
0 : 0
Portimonense U23
15 Sept
Gil Vicente U23
2 : 0
Portimonense U23
08 Sept
Portimonense U23
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo U23

(Away)
20 Oct
Maritimo U23
0 : 1
Famalicao U23
12 Oct
Braga U23
1 : 3
Maritimo U23
25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3
Benfica U23
20 Sept
Maritimo U23
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
15 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 1
Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 9 5 3 1 17:10 18
2 Academico Viseu U23 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
3 Estoril U23 9 4 5 0 19:14 17
4 Rio Ave U23 9 4 4 1 14:7 16
5 FC Felgueiras U23 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 Famalicao U23 9 4 2 3 16:16 14
7 Vizela U23 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
8 Moreirense U23 9 2 6 1 18:10 12
9 SC Farense U23 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
10 Braga U23 9 2 5 2 13:13 11
11 Benfica U23 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
12 Leiria U23 9 3 2 4 9:11 11
13 Leixoes U23 9 2 4 3 17:15 10
14 Santa Clara U23 7 2 4 1 6:11 10
15 Penafiel U23 9 1 6 2 12:12 9
16 Torreense U23 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
17 Gil Vicente U23 9 2 2 5 10:14 8
18 Maritimo U23 9 1 3 5 8:14 6
19 Estrela da Amadora U23 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
20 Portimonense U23 9 0 4 5 5:15 4
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)