Sport Picks
Portimonense U23 vs Penafiel U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Next Gen U23 
Match Events
7'
7'
Faye P.
12'
12'
Mendes I.
42'
42'
Parkinson D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Penafiel U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Portimonense U23 have won more games recently than Penafiel U23.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Portimonense U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Penafiel U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portimonense U23 | Penafiel U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 7 |
| Wins | 5 | 0 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs Penafiel U23
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portimonense U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendes I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zinho Hofmann
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Penafiel U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Faye P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Parkinson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portimonense U23 36 / 100
Penafiel U23 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portimonense U23 Penafiel U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penafiel U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Penafiel U23 conceded in 100% of 7 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Portimonense U23 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Portimonense U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portimonense U23 VS Penafiel U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portimonense U23
(Home) 22 Sept
Santa Clara U23
0 : 0 Portimonense U23
15 Sept
Gil Vicente U23
2 : 0 Portimonense U23
08 Sept
Portimonense U23
0 : 2 FC Felgueiras U23
01 Sept
Moreirense U23
0 : 0 Portimonense U23
25 Aug
Portimonense U23
1 : 2 SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Portimonense U23
0 : 2 FC Felgueiras U23
25 Aug
Portimonense U23
1 : 2 SC Farense U23
11 Aug
Portimonense U23
2 : 2 Penafiel U23
28 Apr
Portimonense U23
1 : 2 SC Farense U23
14 Apr
Portimonense U23
1 : 2 Vizela U23
Page 1 of 3
Penafiel U23
(Away) 29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0 Penafiel U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1 Santa Clara U23
07 Sept
Braga U23
3 : 3 Penafiel U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1 Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 2
29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0 Penafiel U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
07 Sept
Braga U23
3 : 3 Penafiel U23
11 Aug
Portimonense U23
2 : 2 Penafiel U23
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estoril U23 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 2 | Sporting CP U23 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Academico Viseu U23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Felgueiras U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 6 | SC Farense U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga U23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Vizela U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Benfica U23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense U23 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Leiria U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Leixoes U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Penafiel U23 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 18 | Estrela da Amadora U23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 19 | Portimonense U23 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Maritimo U23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)
