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Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Nsumbu M.
75' Event
Yepie Yepie S.
90' Event
Antunes B.

AI Match Summary

SC Farense U23 in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Farense U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Portimonense U23
30%
Draws
54%
SC Farense U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Farense U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Farense U23 lately — more wins on the board than Portimonense U23.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SC Farense U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Portimonense U23 Clean Sheet 13%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense U23 SC Farense U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23
1:2
Apr 28, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23
1:2
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
2:1
Dec 22, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:1
Oct 8, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yepie Yepie S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

SC Farense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsumbu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antunes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense U23 31 / 100
SC Farense U23 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense U23 SC Farense U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Farense U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portimonense U23 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: SC Farense U23 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Portimonense U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense U23 VS SC Farense U23
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense U23

(Home)
22 Sept
Santa Clara U23
0 : 0
Portimonense U23
15 Sept
Gil Vicente U23
2 : 0
Portimonense U23
08 Sept
Portimonense U23
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
01 Sept
Moreirense U23
0 : 0
Portimonense U23
25 Aug
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 6

SC Farense U23

(Away)
21 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 0
SC Farense U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
09 Sept
Santa Clara U23
1 : 0
SC Farense U23
01 Sept
SC Farense U23
4 : 3
Famalicao U23
25 Aug
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estoril U23 8 4 4 0 17:12 16
2 Sporting CP U23 8 4 3 1 15:10 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)