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Portimonense vs Fenerbahce

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Club Friendly 2025 Estádio Municipal de Albufeira, Albufeira
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Szymanski S.
Assist: Mercan L.
28'
Jefferson Maciel
41'
Neves S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Portimonense and Fenerbahce finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fenerbahce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Portimonense
30%
Draws
47%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fenerbahce come out ahead of Portimonense on wins alone.
  • Fenerbahce are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 17%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense Fenerbahce
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.03 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Portimonense vs Fenerbahce
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Szymanski S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense 10 / 100
Fenerbahce 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense Fenerbahce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Fenerbahce conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Portimonense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense VS Fenerbahce
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense

(Home)
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
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Fenerbahce

(Away)
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
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