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Portimonense vs Vizela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Rocha L.
33'
Sub
Bastunov A. In: Hristov A.
Out: Bastunov A.
34' Event
Edney
Assist: Reis J.

AI Match Summary

Portimonense in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portimonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Portimonense
15%
Draws
53%
Vizela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vizela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Portimonense haven't matched Vizela's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vizela's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 22%
Vizela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense Vizela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Vizela
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Portimonense
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Vizela
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Vizela vs Portimonense
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Vizela
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Edney
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Rocha Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vizela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense 24 / 100
Vizela 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense Vizela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vizela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vizela has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Portimonense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense VS Vizela
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense

(Home)
10 Oct
Amarante FC
1 : 2
Portimonense
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
Page 1 of 6

Vizela

(Away)
10 Oct
Vizela
0 : 2
Sporting CP B
20 Sept
Bombarralense
0 : 1
Vizela
14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2
Vizela
06 Sept
Vizela
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
3 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
4 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
5 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
7 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
9 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
10 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
12 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)