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Portland (Capital) U23 vs United PDX

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

United PDX in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored United PDX.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portland (Capital) U23
44%
Draws
20%
United PDX
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • United PDX have won more games recently than Portland (Capital) U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and United PDX have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Portland (Capital) U23 Clean Sheet 10%
United PDX Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland (Capital) U23 United PDX
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs United PDX
2:3
Jun 27, 2024 USL League Two
United PDX vs Portland (Capital) U23
5:0
Jun 18, 2023 USL League Two
United PDX vs Portland (Capital) U23
1:3
Jun 12, 2023 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs United PDX
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland (Capital) U23 34 / 100
United PDX 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland (Capital) U23 United PDX

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland (Capital) U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

United PDX has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Portland (Capital) U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portland (Capital) U23 VS United PDX
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%