Sport Picks
Portland Hearts of Pine vs AV Alta FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME 
Match Events
41'
41'
Desdunes J.
42'
42'
Sub
Desdunes J. In: Higareda S.
Out: Desdunes J.
50'
50'
Alassane M.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Portland Hearts of Pine and AV Alta FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Hearts of Pine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AV Alta FC come out ahead of Portland Hearts of Pine on wins alone.
- Portland Hearts of Pine are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 20%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Hearts of Pine | AV Alta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs AV Alta FC
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs AV Alta FC
2:2
Jul 2, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs AV Alta FC
0:2
Jun 22, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Faye S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
AV Alta FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Hearts of Pine 49 / 100
AV Alta FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Hearts of Pine AV Alta FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portland Hearts of Pine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
AV Alta FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Portland Hearts of Pine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Hearts of Pine VS AV Alta FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Home) 10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Westchester SC
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 3
AV Alta FC
(Away) 11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2 Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
New York Cosmos
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
