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Stadium Background

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Corpus Christi FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Bowen B.
33'
Barbosa D.
37'
Bowen B.

AI Match Summary

Corpus Christi FC in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corpus Christi FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portland Hearts of Pine
20%
Draws
44%
Corpus Christi FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corpus Christi FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Corpus Christi FC have won more games recently than Portland Hearts of Pine.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 16%
Corpus Christi FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Hearts of Pine Corpus Christi FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Corpus Christi FC
0:2
Jun 4, 2026 USL League One
Corpus Christi FC vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Corpus Christi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keaney J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Hearts of Pine 30 / 100
Corpus Christi FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Hearts of Pine Corpus Christi FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portland Hearts of Pine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Corpus Christi FC let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Portland Hearts of Pine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Hearts of Pine VS Corpus Christi FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Hearts of Pine

(Home)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6

Corpus Christi FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1
FC Naples
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)