Sport Picks
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Fort Wayne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME 
Match Events
8'
8'
Healy T.
Assist: Jordan J.
24'
24'
Poon-Angeron M.
34'
34'
Camara A.
AI Match Summary
Fort Wayne in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fort Wayne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Portland Hearts of Pine haven't matched Fort Wayne's recent run of results.
- 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Hearts of Pine | Fort Wayne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Fort Wayne
1:4
May 6, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Fort Wayne Compare
Top Goalscorer Healy T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Awoudor C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Hearts of Pine 30 / 100
Fort Wayne 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Hearts of Pine Fort Wayne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fort Wayne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Fort Wayne conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Portland Hearts of Pine remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Hearts of Pine VS Fort Wayne
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Home) 04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Westchester SC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Westchester SC
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Fort Wayne
16 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 3
Fort Wayne
(Away) 08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0 Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Fort Wayne
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
