Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph

USA USA

USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Lee E.
30'
Faye S.
45'
Barbosa D.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Portland Hearts of Pine and Greenville Triumph finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portland Hearts of Pine
33%
Draws
27%
Greenville Triumph
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Portland Hearts of Pine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portland Hearts of Pine are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Portland Hearts of Pine have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 68%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Hearts of Pine Greenville Triumph
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:3
Jul 16, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Greenville Triumph Compare

Top Goalscorer Robles R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Hearts of Pine 50 / 100
Greenville Triumph 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Hearts of Pine Greenville Triumph

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Portland Hearts of Pine scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Greenville Triumph has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Portland Hearts of Pine has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portland Hearts of Pine VS Greenville Triumph
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville15103228:1333
2Union Omaha16101525:1831
3Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
4Forward Madison1482426:1426
5AV Alta FC1767423:1925
6Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
7Fort Wayne1566321:1424
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1371523:1522
10Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1533912:2812
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310