Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos

USA USA

USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kamara J.
Assist: Wright O.
16'
Chavez J.
18' Event
Wright O.
Assist: Kamara J.

AI Match Summary

Portland Hearts of Pine in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Hearts of Pine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Portland Hearts of Pine
11%
Draws
9%
New York Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Portland Hearts of Pine have won more games recently than New York Cosmos.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Portland Hearts of Pine taking it.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Portland Hearts of Pine have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 13%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Hearts of Pine New York Cosmos
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup
Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos
2:1
May 2, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kamara J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

New York Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guenzatti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Hearts of Pine 75 / 100
New York Cosmos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Hearts of Pine New York Cosmos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: New York Cosmos conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Solid form: Portland Hearts of Pine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portland Hearts of Pine VS New York Cosmos
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310