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Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Portland Hearts of Pine and Sarasota Paradise finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarasota Paradise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Portland Hearts of Pine
30%
Draws
47%
Sarasota Paradise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarasota Paradise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarasota Paradise come out ahead of Portland Hearts of Pine on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sarasota Paradise taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sarasota Paradise have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Hearts of Pine Sarasota Paradise
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise
1:4
Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:2
Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Hearts of Pine 10 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Hearts of Pine Sarasota Paradise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarasota Paradise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Sarasota Paradise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Portland Hearts of Pine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Hearts of Pine VS Sarasota Paradise
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Hearts of Pine

(Home)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
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Sarasota Paradise

(Away)
10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
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