Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Bay FC W
USA
NWSL Women 2025 Providence Park 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women 2025 game between Portland Thorns FC W and Bay FC W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Thorns FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NWSL Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Bay FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Bay FC W Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Bay FC W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Portland Thorns FC W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Current W | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 49:13 | 65 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42:33 | 44 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns FC W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:29 | 40 |
| 4 | Orlando Pride W | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 40 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 32:29 | 39 |
| 6 | San Diego Wave W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:34 | 37 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | 37 |
| 8 | Gotham FC W | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 36 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | 27 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:42 | 25 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:41 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago Stars W | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 32:54 | 20 |