Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Chicago Stars W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
22'
22'
Lopez Millan M.
Own Goal
24'
24'
Lopez Millan M.
46'
46'
Sub
Weaver M. In: Hanks C.
Out: Weaver M.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Portland Thorns FC W and Chicago Stars W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portland Thorns FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Portland Thorns FC W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Chicago Stars W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 2.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Chicago Stars W
1:1
May 3, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Chicago Stars W
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Chicago Stars W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Chicago Stars W Compare
Top Goalscorer Wood T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 85 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Chicago Stars W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portland Thorns FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Chicago Stars W has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Portland Thorns FC W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Chicago Stars W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
23 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
Chicago Stars W
(Away) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
30 Aug
Denver Summit W
6 : 1 Chicago Stars W
20 Aug
Houston Dash W
5 : 0 Chicago Stars W
15 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 Chicago Stars W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
