Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Denver Summit W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
22'
22'
Perry J.
44'
44'
Wilson S.
Assist: Fleming J.
64'
64'
Sub
Castellanos D. In: Mckenzie M.
Out: Castellanos D.
AI Match Summary
Portland Thorns FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Thorns FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denver Summit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Denver Summit W haven't matched Portland Thorns FC W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Portland Thorns FC W's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 11%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Denver Summit W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Denver Summit W
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Denver Summit W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 35 / 100
Denver Summit W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Denver Summit W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Denver Summit W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Portland Thorns FC W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Denver Summit W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
23 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
Denver Summit W
(Away) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1 Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1 Denver Summit W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3 Denver Summit W
23 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
15 Aug
San Diego Wave W
1 : 1 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
