Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Gotham FC W
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
2'
2'
Purce M.
Assist: Reiten G.
11'
11'
Sub
Sonnett E. In: Freeman M.
Out: Sonnett E.
21'
21'
Lyles R.
Assist: Tordin P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gotham FC W have won more games recently than Portland Thorns FC W.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Gotham FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 35 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Gotham FC W
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:0
Apr 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Gotham FC W
4:1
Nov 10, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lyles R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fleming J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Gotham FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Purce M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kerr S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 31 / 100
Gotham FC W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Gotham FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W scored in 85% of their last 34 games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Gotham FC W let in goals in 49% of their last 35 matches.
Solid form: Portland Thorns FC W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Gotham FC W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
30 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Utah Royals W
21 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 4
Gotham FC W
(Away) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2 Seattle Reign W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 3 Gotham FC W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
11 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 3 Gotham FC W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0 Gotham FC W
20 May
Club America W
4 : 1 Gotham FC W
16 May
Seattle Reign W
0 : 2 Gotham FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 31 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle Reign W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18:28 | 11 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
