Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Gotham FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
2'
2'
Purce M.
Assist: Reiten G.
11'
11'
Sub
Sonnett E. In: Freeman M.
Out: Sonnett E.
21'
21'
Lyles R.
Assist: Tordin P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gotham FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Gotham FC W have won more games recently than Portland Thorns FC W.
- Model gives Portland Thorns FC W a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 15%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Gotham FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Gotham FC W
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:0
Apr 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Gotham FC W
4:1
Nov 10, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lyles R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fleming J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Gotham FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Purce M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kerr S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 35 / 100
Gotham FC W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Gotham FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Portland Thorns FC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Gotham FC W conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Gotham FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
23 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
Gotham FC W
(Away) 04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1 Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0 Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0 Gotham FC W
24 Aug
Angel City W
0 : 0 Gotham FC W
02 Aug
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
