Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs North Carolina Courage W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
AI Match Summary
Portland Thorns FC W host North Carolina Courage W in the NWSL Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. North Carolina Courage W have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Portland Thorns FC W have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.77. Head-to-head, Portland Thorns FC W have won 1 to North Carolina Courage W's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward North Carolina Courage W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- North Carolina Courage W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | North Carolina Courage W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Portland Thorns FC W scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.
North Carolina Courage W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Portland Thorns FC W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home)North Carolina Courage W
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
