Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Orlando Pride W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
40'
40'
Ovalle L.
52'
52'
Doyle J.
58'
58'
Castellanos D.
Assist: Tordin P.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Portland Thorns FC W and Orlando Pride W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Thorns FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orlando Pride W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Orlando Pride W haven't matched Portland Thorns FC W's recent run of results.
- Model gives Portland Thorns FC W a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Portland Thorns FC W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Orlando Pride W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:4
Aug 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Orlando Pride W
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:0
May 3, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Orlando Pride W
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Orlando Pride W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Castellanos D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hanks C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Orlando Pride W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ovalle L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 41 / 100
Orlando Pride W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Orlando Pride W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Orlando Pride W let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Portland Thorns FC W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Orlando Pride W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
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04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
23 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
Orlando Pride W
(Away) 03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2 Orlando Pride W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2 Orlando Pride W
23 Aug
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Orlando Pride W
16 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 1 Orlando Pride W
01 Aug
North Carolina Courage W
5 : 0 Orlando Pride W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
