Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
21'
21'
Moultrie O.
44'
44'
Palacios K.
Assist: Rabano N.
48'
48'
Tanaka M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Utah Royals W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Utah Royals W have won more games recently than Portland Thorns FC W.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Portland Thorns FC W taking it.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns FC W
5:1
May 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Utah Royals W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Moultrie O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Utah Royals W Compare
Top Goalscorer Palacios K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lacasse C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 59 / 100
Utah Royals W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Utah Royals W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portland Thorns FC W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Utah Royals W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Portland Thorns FC W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Utah Royals W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
29 Aug
Gotham FC W
1 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
23 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
16 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 1 Orlando Pride W
Page 1 of 3
Utah Royals W
(Away) 27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3 Angel City W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2 Boston Legacy W
29 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
29 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2 Utah Royals W
22 Aug
San Diego Wave W
4 : 2 Utah Royals W
09 Aug
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Utah Royals W
25 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 4 Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 34:20 | 54 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 36:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns FC W | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:35 | 43 |
| 7 | Angel City W | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44:28 | 42 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32:36 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 32:44 | 26 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15:60 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
