Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Washington Spirit W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
18'
18'
Wilson S.
(Penalty)
26'
26'
Ngock M.
32'
32'
Rudd T.
AI Match Summary
Washington Spirit W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Washington Spirit W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Washington Spirit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Washington Spirit W have won more games recently than Portland Thorns FC W.
- Model gives Portland Thorns FC W a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Washington Spirit W
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Washington Spirit W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Bethi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 36 / 100
Washington Spirit W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Washington Spirit W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Washington Spirit W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Portland Thorns FC W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Washington Spirit W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4 Portland Thorns FC W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 4 Boston Legacy W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
23 Aug
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 0 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4
Washington Spirit W
(Away) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
26 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1 Angel City W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3 Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
17 Aug
Angel City W
1 : 1 Washington Spirit W
30 Jul
Utah Royals W
0 : 1 Washington Spirit W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
