Sport Picks
Portland Timbers 2 vs North Texas
USA
MLS Next Pro Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
6'
6'
Biggar J.
26'
26'
Lund N.
Own Goal
49'
49'
Contreras J.
AI Match Summary
North Texas in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Texas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Portland Timbers 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Portland Timbers 2 have won more games recently than North Texas.
- Portland Timbers 2 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- North Texas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 16%
North Texas Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Timbers 2 | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs North Texas
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs North Texas
1:2
May 19, 2024 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Portland Timbers 2
2:1
Jul 30, 2023 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Portland Timbers 2
4:0
Jun 11, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs North Texas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Timbers 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Guerra G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
North Texas Compare
Top Goalscorer Nys E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Timbers 2 66 / 100
North Texas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Timbers 2 North Texas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Timbers 2 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: North Texas conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Portland Timbers 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Timbers 2 VS North Texas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Timbers 2
(Home) 18 Jul
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2 Portland Timbers 2
12 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
0 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
06 Jul
Tacoma Defiance
0 : 2 Portland Timbers 2
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
21 Jun
Colorado Rapids 2
0 : 2 Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
31 May
Portland Timbers 2
1 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
24 May
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 3 Houston Dynamo 2
14 May
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1 Minnesota United 2
10 May
Portland Timbers 2
3 : 4 Ventura County
Page 1 of 3
North Texas
(Away) 19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
12 Jul
Colorado Rapids 2
1 : 0 North Texas
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0 St. Louis City 2
11 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 1 North Texas
30 May
St. Louis City 2
2 : 0 North Texas
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
12 Jul
Colorado Rapids 2
1 : 0 North Texas
11 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2 : 1 North Texas
30 May
St. Louis City 2
2 : 0 North Texas
10 May
Minnesota United 2
0 : 2 North Texas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 5 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)