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Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Providence Park, Portland, OR
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Portland Timbers 2 at 1.52 goals for, 1.21 against; St. Louis City 2 at 1.65 for, 1.65 against. Past meetings favor Portland Timbers 2 slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.13) point toward Portland Timbers 2. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Portland Timbers 2
15%
Draws
21%
St. Louis City 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portland Timbers 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Portland Timbers 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portland Timbers 2 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Portland Timbers 2 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portland Timbers 2, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 20%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers 2 St. Louis City 2
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 20 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2
2:1
May 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
6:3
Apr 7, 2024 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 2 67 / 100
St. Louis City 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers 2 St. Louis City 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portland Timbers 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portland Timbers 2 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

St. Louis City 2 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Portland Timbers 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers 2 VS St. Louis City 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
07 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Ventura County
2 : 3
Portland Timbers 2
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St. Louis City 2

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
23 Aug
St. Louis City 2
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Crown Legacy -
TBD -
Chattanooga -
New York City II -
Atlanta United 2 -
CT United FC -
Columbus Crew 2 -
New England Revolution II -
Austin FC II -
TBD -
Portland Timbers 2 -
St. Louis City 2 -
Ventura County -
Minnesota United 2 -
Houston Dynamo 2 -
Los Angeles FC 2 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -