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Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Providence Park, Portland, OR
Portland Timbers 2 Logo

Portland Timbers 2

Mon, Sep 14, 2026
2 - 1
08:00 PM
St. Louis City 2 Logo

St. Louis City 2

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Lillington Z.
28'
Bamford A.
30'
Griffith C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Timbers 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Portland Timbers 2
15%
Draws
21%
St. Louis City 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portland Timbers 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Portland Timbers 2 have won more games recently than St. Louis City 2.
  • Model gives Portland Timbers 2 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 20%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers 2 St. Louis City 2
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 20 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2
2:1
May 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
6:3
Apr 7, 2024 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lillington Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 2 67 / 100
St. Louis City 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers 2 St. Louis City 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portland Timbers 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers 2's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

St. Louis City 2 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Portland Timbers 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers 2 VS St. Louis City 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
07 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Ventura County
2 : 3
Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 6

St. Louis City 2

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
23 Aug
St. Louis City 2
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)