Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes

USA USA

MLS Providence Park
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Judd P.
Assist: Skahan J.
12' Event
Judd P.
Assist: Fernandez N.
18' Event
Antony
Assist: Da Costa D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portland Timbers
6%
Draws
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portland Timbers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Portland Timbers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • San Jose Earthquakes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers San Jose Earthquakes
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 2 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:3
Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
3:2
Jun 14, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:1
May 21, 2025 US Open Cup
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
1:0
May 4, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Antony
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Judd P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munie D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 83 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers San Jose Earthquakes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Portland Timbers's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

San Jose Earthquakes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Portland Timbers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS San Jose Earthquakes
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Los Angeles FC1683527:1727
4Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
5FC Dallas1574430:2225
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1655622:2520
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC15113132:1136
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United15321014:2411
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307