Sport Picks
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
25'
25'
Chara D.
28'
28'
Miranchuk Al.
32'
32'
Sub
Jacob T. In: Edwards M.
Out: Jacob T.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Portland Timbers and Atlanta United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlanta United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atlanta United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Portland Timbers carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Portland Timbers a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 14%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Timbers | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 MLS
Atlanta United vs Portland Timbers
5:1
Sep 4, 2022 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United
2:1
Apr 19, 2020 MLS
Atlanta United vs Portland Timbers
0:0
Aug 19, 2019 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Timbers Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Atlanta United Compare
Top Goalscorer Miranchuk Al.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Timbers 41 / 100
Atlanta United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Timbers Atlanta United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Timbers scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Atlanta United let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Portland Timbers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Timbers VS Atlanta United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Timbers
(Home) 11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3 Portland Timbers
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4 Minnesota United
30 Aug
Portland Timbers
1 : 2 Austin FC
20 Aug
Portland Timbers
3 : 1 San Diego FC
Page 1 of 3
Atlanta United
(Away) 10 Oct
Atlanta United
1 : 3 FC Cincinnati
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Atlanta United
20 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2 Atlanta United
01 Aug
Philadelphia Union
3 : 2 Atlanta United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
